There’s no question that the COVID-19 pandemic and the severe recession it spawned are widening California’s economic divide.
California already had the nation’s highest rate of functional poverty before this year began, as calculated by the Census Bureau using cost-of-living as well as income data, with nearly 20% of the state’s 40 million people impoverished. The Public Policy Institute of California calculates that another fifth of Californians are in “near-poverty.”
That was true even when California’s economy was booming, before COVID-19 and recession reared their ugly heads.
Low-income, non-white Californians are more likely to be infected with the coronavirus, more likely to become unemployed, and more likely to become homeless as their incomes shrink. Therefore, it’s inescapably logical that pandemic is making the poor even poorer.
California's year of pandemic, recession and civic unrest also includes angst over the outcome of the 2020 census, columnist Dan Walters says. The state likely will lose at least one congressional seat and perhaps two.
However, the most important factor in California’s high, and apparently increasing, level of poverty is not income, but our very high cost-of-living, second only to Hawaii among the states. Everything — except, perhaps, seasonal produce — costs more than it does just about everywhere else.
Housing is the most significant cost-of-living component. Whether buying or renting, putting a roof over one’s head consumes a disproportionately high portion of personal income. And while housing costs have declined a bit during the current recession, in relative terms they remain very high.
Democratic politicians who dominate the Capitol talk about jump-starting housing development, but have mostly dropped the ball. Two big Democratic Party allies, labor unions and environmentalists, are major impediments to housing reform.
Housing, however, is not the only cost factor that keeps so many Californians in poverty. Energy for transportation and to heat, cool and light our homes is another big one — obvious during summer heat waves when air conditioning is not a luxury and even more so as Californians comply with anti-pandemic, stay-at-home orders.
Gov. Gavin Newsom says the new California state budget is balanced, but in reality it has a huge deficit that will be covered by indirect borrowing, columnist Dan Walters says.
How high are Californians’ energy costs? The Center for Jobs and the Economy, an affiliate of the California Business Roundtable, continuously tracks them.
Its most recent report says that California motorists are paying the nation’s second highest gasoline prices, 98 cents a gallon or 47.3% higher than the average of the 49 other states.
The report also pegs residential electric power rates at 55.8% higher than the average of other states, which translates into $6-plus billion per year in extra expense. Commercial power rates are 69.7% higher than those of other states, and industrial rates are 115% higher — costs that obviously translate into higher prices for consumers.
Monthly power bills will continue to rise sharply. For instance, as Pacific Gas and Electric emerges from bankruptcy it faces massive new debts and new obligations to make its power grid safer, and both will inevitably affect consumers’ utility bills.
California's COVID-19 epicenter is Imperial County, an impoverished agricultual oasis with an unusual history, says columnist Dan Walters, who grew up in the county.
There’s another looming factor — efforts in some cities to ban natural gas hookups in favor of all-electric appliances, in the name of reducing greenhouse gas emissions.
The problem with that seemingly well-meaning campaign is that relatively, electricity is already much more expensive than gas, so if it succeeds, higher household energy costs will further widen the economic gap.
A new report from a Washington-based think tank, The Foundation for Research on Equal Opportunity, contends that “banning the use of natural gas imposes a regressive energy tax on low- and middle-income consumers” in California. It notes that almost all of the cities banning gas have high personal incomes and are clustered in the San Francisco Bay Area.
California’s dominant liberals talk a lot about ending poverty, but are often oblivious that their policy decrees raise living costs of the poor.
Watch now: Meet homeless Californians trying to survive a pandemic
CalMatters is a public interest journalism venture committed to explaining how California’s state Capitol works and why it matters. For more stories by Dan Walters, go to calmatters.org/commentary.
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